STATISTICAL EVALUATION OF PROGRESS TOWARDS ACHIEVING THE STRATEGIC GOAL OF LIFE EXPECTANCY GROWTH IN THE RUSSIAN ARCTIC

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Lyudmila n. Lipatova1, Valentina n. Gradusova2, Elena V. Strokan3

1,2,3The North-West Institute of Management — Branch of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy  and Public Administration, Saint Petersburg, Russia

1ln.lipatova@yandex.ru, http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9357-6708

2gradusova-vn@ranepa.ru, http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0829-4555

3moiseeva-ev@ranepa.ru, http://orcid.org/0009-0004-6656-1158

Abstract. Increasing the life expectancy of the Russian population is the most important goal of the country’s national policy. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, this indicator has decreased in most countries worldwide, including Russia, which necessitates research in this domain. Life expectancy levels greatly vary across Russian regions. The goal of this study is to evaluate the extent to which the targeted life expectancy goals have been attained in the Arctic regions of the Russian Federation. The study relies on the systems approach, the critical approach, content analysis, and demographic analysis. The novelty of the study lies in the conclusion that the life expectancy target outlined in the Strategy for the Development of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation and Provision of National Security for the Period up to 2035, aimed at reaching the level of 78 years by 2024, will not be met. This assertion is substantiated by an analysis of long-term trends. The Arctic regions are categorized based on their progress toward the strategic life expectancy goal: the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous District has come closest to achieving it, while the Krasnoyarsk Territory, the Republic of Karelia, and the Arkhangelsk Region face the most challenging circumstances. We have identified key avenues for increasing life expectancy in each Arctic region, with measures to prevent mortality from external causes showing significant potential for reducing premature deaths. A comparative analysis shows that at the current state of healthcare infrastructure development in Russia, regional differences do not exert a decisive impact on life expectancy. Therefore, it is recommended to strengthen efforts  to encourage regular medical check-ups, making them an annual practice for all age groups. This approach would facilitate the early diagnosis of critical illnesses and reduce premature mortality. As a rule, the availability of medical services  in the Russian Arctic is higher than the average around the country, as evidenced by statistical data on the development  of a network of medical institutions and their medical staffing. Also, most Arctic regions have a lower proportion  of the rural population than the national average, with the exception of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) and the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug. Telemedicine and mobile healthcare services should be used more actively, particularly in locations such as remote settlements, onshore and offshore oil platforms, and nomadic routes. There is a need for an effective mechanism of government support for corporate employee wellness programs that make a real contribution to reducing the loss of work time due to sick leaves. It is also vital to promote a healthy lifestyle, engaging the population in physical activities and sports, as the Russian Arctic already has the necessary facilities and conditions.

Keywords: life expectancy, excess mortality, avoidable mortality, mortality statistics, preventive physical examination, healthy lifestyle.

For citation: Lipatova L. N., Gradusova V. N., Strokan E. V. Statistical evaluation of progress towards achieving the strategic goal of life expectancy growth in the Russian Arctic. Sever i rynok: formirovanie ekonomicheskogo poryadka [The North  and the Market: Forming the Economic Order], 2023, no. 3, pp. 92–106. https://doi:10.37614/2220-802X.3.2023.81.006. (In Russ.).

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